Friday, February 26, 2010

Round 2 of NAB Cup preview...

And I wonder if I will get more than two right this week? Hmm. Well with round 1 knocking out some favourites to take out the comp, this round should be interesting. Let's see what I think?

Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs (Etihad Stadium) Friday Night.
Hmm got a coin anyone? The Hawks are coming off a thumping of Richmond whilst the Dogs slogged it out in the wet against Brisbane. Definately is a hard choice. It depends on who is in the sides. I would love it for a Gibson vs Hall duel, two players in different colours playing their first game for the sides. It would be good to see how the midfield matchup will do. I personally reckon they matchup well but the battle could be won in either end of the ground. It's a matter of who actually wants to win this game. The Hawks will have something to prove after being reigning premiers last year and then to miss out on the finals while the Dogs just missed out on playing in last years grand final. Hard choice but I would say that Hawthorn will win by 14 points.

West Coast vs Port Adelaide (Subiaco) Saturday.
West Coast impressed me against Essendon early on and it could be a much better year for the Eagles. Just with their young players and all it gives them a glimmer of hope in the near distant future. Port Adelaide did a job on Adelaide which was very impressive. Home advantage does play a big part in any game but Port Adelaide have played well of late at Subiaco. In this case I do believe that West Coast will win by 23 points.

St Kilda vs Sydney (Etihad Stadium) Saturday Night.
The Saints are coming off a one point tough win against Collingwood which turned out to be game of the round. Both teams in this instance impressed me and could be a real competition between these two teams in 2010. With Sydney it was a good start to 2010 considering they don't feature heavily in the NAB Cup and it would be interesting to see how the Swans go tomorrow night. I do like how the Swans have recruited and this is where the future of Sydney lies. In this game though I believe that St Kilda have more to prove and would want to win this more and will win by 45 points.

North Melbourne vs Fremantle (Etihad Stadium) Sunday.
This is going to be a good game, despite Fremantle's poor record in Melbourne both teams are playing well. Freo were coming off a guaranteed win against Melbourne whilst North Melbourne impressed everyone by beating the reigning premier. Ok well as they say it's only the NAB Cup but these two teams will by the early indicator improve in 2010. The youngsters of both teams are going to be an interesting factor and one which I will be interested in having a look at. In this case North will advance to the next round because they showed more grunt and will win by 56 points.

More to follow...

Monday, February 22, 2010

I've gotta get it closer sometime!!

Yep to start of 2010 even though it is the NAB Cup I have been a bit wayward in my tipping. For round 1 I got 4 out of 8 that's bad!! Need to improve this year!

Soon I will have more of a wrap up of the games more during the year than the NAB Cup.

Just looking at the games though. Friday Night was a great game early on in the year which was good to see. Saturday night with Sydney playing well surprised me a little bit and it left Carlton looking at their forwardline a little more now. Sunday surprised me even more with North Melbourne upsetting the reigning premier Geelong. I honestly thought that Geelong would win the first then go out in the second or third rounds, but well done North and can they be the biggest improvers for 2010? Then Freo did what I thought and won easily against Melbourne.

Next week is going to be interesting with the games and the competition is still alive!

More to follow...

Friday, February 19, 2010

Now let's get to the footy....

Well it's the NAB Cup but hey it's still footy isn't it? Here are my predictions for the second week of the competition which is going to prove some interesting games that's for sure:

St Kilda vs Collingwood (Etihad) Friday Night.
These two teams are going to tough it out at least twice during the home and away season and tonight there's a little taste to what's going to come. There are big things predicted already for the Saints and the Pies and well this is a first glance of them flexing their muscles by either bringing out the big guns or showing off their prized recruits. Should be an interesting one to watch. Eyes will be focused on the battle of Luke Ball going up against his old side, is there any love lossed there? Who will take this game seriously? I was surprised with Collingwood and where they finished last year in the NAB Cup but St Kilda also generally do well as well. Getting to the game it will be a hard slog early while both teams are adjusting to the start of the year. I do however believe that it won't be a real close game but not a blow out because both teams will have pride on the line. Having said that I do believe that St Kilda will win by 19 points because they will be hungry to win their first competitive game of the year after coming so close to winning the premiership last year.

Sydney vs Carlton (Blacktown) Saturday Night.
I love how the AFL wants to take these games to other points of the country. Blacktown is an interesting one but we'll see how it goes. These two teams have competitive games over the last couple of years. I am interested to see how both teams have recruited this year and whether they are going to give these players a run. I'm more interested in the Post Fevola era at Carlton and how Bradshaw will go in his new swan colours although he's not playing tomorrow night but we'll wait for the season proper for that. I have theories on the post Fevola era and how that's going to effect Carlton but I will have more on that later. Sydney will be strong at home and could win this one but I do believe that the Blues will have more to prove and win by 34 points.

Geelong vs North Melbourne (Etihad) Sunday.
Question is. How has the preseason effected the reigning premiers? From the shorten break to the off field controversy? Only time will tell. I personally don't think it will effect the Cats that much to be honest in fact it will make them wiser. North Melbourne I am interested in. Why? Because of how they've recruited. They are a mainly young side but do have a tallented bunch who in fact can win them a premiership one day. That showed last year with Jack Ziebell and a few others. With Cunnington amongst others this young list could turn into a powerhouse it's just going to take them a few years of game time but they will bear the fruit soon. Getting back to the game I do believe that Geelong would want to keep their winning going and will win this by 48 points but the contests will get much closer during 2010.

Fremantle vs Melbourne (Subiaco) Sunday.
This is a game I am interested in. 2009 saw these two teams struggle really, there is no sugar coating it. But with top picks from the draft in hand it's only a matter of time before these teams start climing the ladder. Melbourne with picks one and two Scully and Tengrove (Who I'm going to call Mulder and Scully lol or team X File) who are going to play and Fremantle have number 4 pick Morrabito who looks to be a future star. Fremantle have a good young list but need players on deck and a few wins in Melbourne or Victoria to press for a finals berth. Melbourne just need to keep playing their top recuits because they won't want to come last this year otherwise they are going to get nothing in the draft this year with the new Gold Coast team coming into the competition next year. Looking at this game though the home advantage will be enough for Fremantle to win by 5 points but look out for the Melbourne recruits.

More to follow.

Thursday, February 18, 2010

What a start to the year we've had already....

Yeah and the year hasn't officially started yet. Interesting Huh?!

There has been off the field controversies already that has meant this year is going to get much better and more and more interesting. From Matthew Stokes allegedly traficking drugs and getting suspended from the club for 8 weeks to Andrew Lovett's alledged rape case which eventuated in his sacking from St Kilda. There has been other drunken nights of shame to throw in the mix.

Now I am not racist but when it comes down to it Stokes and Lovett are aboriginal which is really sad for the reputation of aboriginals. I have met a lot of aboriginals and they are awesome people and I feel sad that two high sports people have done this. I just hope that these two who have the seriousness of charges can get by whatever the outcome of these cases are and turn their careers around!

I wonder what else 2010 has to bring???

More to follow.

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Ok a little off the mark

The first four games of the NAB cup indicate just how hard it is to tip with the NAB cup because to be honest I don't think a lot of teams care about winning it just as long as they come out of it without injuries. So far so good.

I tipped Essendon friday night and they looked good for the first part but West Coast did well didn't they? They came out after half time with intent and could very well improve this year. Port upset Adelaide although they did the same as West Coast because I reckon they have something to prove this year.

Hawthorn came out and flogged a helpless Richmond and there are a few players that were looking to put a disappointing 2009 aside. The Western Bulldogs and Brisbane game was really close and both teams look good even in a wet soaked Manuka Oval.

Give it time but this year would be interesting.

More to follow.

Friday, February 12, 2010

NAB Cup is here

Can you believe that the unofficial start to the footy season is starting tonight? No neither can I. But believe you me all that training for the start starts here. I am going to look at the NAB cup games and give my tips but for round one I will do the first four games then look at the other four next week. So here they are:

West Coast vs Essendon (Subiaco) Friday Night.
Interesting to see how these teams have recruited and who they have lost etc over the summer and how they will be effected for the 2010 season. West Coast have already been tipped to be the biggest improvers while Essendon have some building to do with Adam McPhee going to Fremantle plus Matthew Lloyd retiring last year. How will Jobe Watson go as captain. Interesting with the NAB cup upon us the stakes are different from the main season as to how many teams go all out. The team that wants to win the NAB Cup out of these two will win this game. But funny things have happened and I reckon in this case Essendon will win just by 11 points in a real tight game.

Adelaide vs Port Adelaide (AAMI Stadium) Saturday.
Ah two arch rivals competing I love it! To me this game will have some sort of rivalry but not the spite of other showdowns. I will like to see how the recruits of Port will in fact go against a much improved from 09 lineup of Adelaide. These two teams will continue to have great games as including this game they are playing three times this year giving South Australian fans a real treat. However in this game I do believe the experience of Adelaide will be too strong and win by 24 points.

Hawthorn vs Richmond (Aurora Stadium) Saturday Night.
I am looking forward to this game to be honest. I am thinking that Hawthorn will be much improved from last year and I am interested in seeing who will be a shining light in 2010 for Richmond. How much young blood will be used is another thing and I'm hoping that both sides will do that this year. Aurora Stadium was a mixed bag for Hawthorn this year but can be powerhouse for them normally. Great for the Tassie fans to see a game down there earlier in the year. Richmond will have to go out here. I reckon that Hawthorn will win but Richmond will have a dip, Hawks by 20 points.

Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane (Manuka Oval) Sunday
Ok this is going to be a tough one to pick earlier. Both have recruited well in my book and will be looking at showcasing these recuits earlier. The Dogs have Barry Hall and some tallented youngsters who will be yapping around the ankles to get going. Brisbane have done well with obtaining Fevola, amongst others. Should be a good game. Western Bulldogs by 3 points.

Well that's all for NAB Cup part 1 of round 1 more next week.

Sunday, February 7, 2010

The Footy season is just about upon us!

Yay! Next weekend the Nab Cup starts with West Coast vs Essendon at Subiaco on Friday Night. People have said to me that they aren't a fan of the NAB Cup or the pre-season cup because it does mean that players are prone to injuries. To me I like it (not love it) but it does give those who are footy starved over the pre-season a chance to get into the new season. That and the fact that you have a chance to see how players are fairing and in particular the young players in each side and also new recruits. I do recall last year in the NAB Cup Grand Final Josh Hunt went down with a knee injury and missed all of 2009 and in particular playing in their Premiership Side. But with Tom Harley retired he should just slot back into the lineup.

2010 is going to be an interesting year for footy. Will Geelong go back to back? Will St Kilda avenge the disappointment of losing the Grand Final? Who will be the biggest improvers? Which team or teams will be the biggest disappointment? These questions and more I will answer before the start of round 1 and also my predictions for the up and coming footy season.

Tipping is something I can never get right, I personally think the same for a lot of people. No matter how much you study the form guide you never get it right. Some people don't think about it til Friday some study up throughout the week, I personally do a bit of both. I do find that the people who don't know a lot about the game end up doing really well in the competitions, I'm still trying to find out why.

Supercoach or Fantasy AFL is a different thing all together. This is something that you need to have some sort of idea about otherwise you're not going to do well. I have completed a side and will in fact change it numerous times before round one but at the moment I am happy with it. Last year was my first year of doing Supercoach and I did learn some lessons which I will share with you in minute. I finished in the Preliminary Final and just missed out on going all the way but I thought it wasn't a bad effort considering it was my first year and all, now I wanna win it this year! Well that's the aim anyway. Alright here are some lessons I've learned:

1. Don't stack your side with the players that others will go with and that have the most dollar value. You can probably do that later if their value goes down. Not at first.
2. Select youth. Try to fit in draftees from 09 and rookies as well. But first do your homework, I find You tube is a great tool. I did well with Daniel Rich because I watched him throughout the year and was surprised that he was passed up and slipped through to number 7. Youth is great for the bench and especially if they are in teams that will give them a run.
3. Look for players that you know that are good but haven't proven themselves yet.
4. Look for players who have depleated in value through injuries or lack of form, they usually have a point to prove.
5. Try to include as many of the clubs as possible not just from those who you think will do well.

That's it for now I will have more soon which will include my ladder and tips.